TUESDAY 10 NOVEMBER 2026 OPEN-SOURCE INTELLIGENCE ON INTERNATIONAL SECURITY · UPDATED FOUR TIMES A DAY
National security · Strategic Assessment · Threat level High
The IRGC says it has dropped its self-imposed 2,000km ballistic missile range cap.
4 h ago 9 min read Moderate confidence
How sure we are · “Probably”
60%
Remote Even chance Almost certain
Competing explanations we weighed
H-A 44%
H-B 21%
H-C 24%
H-D 8%
Regional conflicts · Operational Update
Available reporting indicates that Israel and the United States are negotiating a successor to the military-aid framework that expires in 2028, with a reported five-year period of direct ai…
4 h ago 9 min read Moderate confidence
National security · Strategic Assessment
Garry Kasparov canceled his planned Berlin visit after further security warnings, and instead sent a video message to Berlin Freedom Week.
4 h ago 9 min read Moderate confidence
Cybersecurity · Intelligence Brief
Available reporting supports a cross-border campaign in which attackers remotely raised refrigeration temperatures at supermarkets, using internet-exposed controllers with weak or factory-d…
4 h ago 10 min read Moderate confidence
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National security
Moderate confidence · 9 min · 4 h ago
Counter-terrorism
Low confidence · 9 min · 4 h ago
National security
Moderate confidence · 8 min · 4 h ago
National security
Moderate confidence · 9 min · 4 h ago
Regional conflicts
Moderate confidence · 8 min · 4 h ago
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