TUESDAY 10 NOVEMBER 2026OPEN-SOURCE INTELLIGENCE ON INTERNATIONAL SECURITY · UPDATED FOUR TIMES A DAY

National security · Strategic Assessment · Threat level High

Iran’s IRGC Announces Removal of 2,000km Ballistic Missile Range Limit

The IRGC says it has dropped its self-imposed 2,000km ballistic missile range cap.

How sure we are · “Probably”

60%

RemoteEven chanceAlmost certain

Competing explanations we weighed

H-A44%
H-B21%
H-C24%
H-D8%

Regional conflicts · Operational Update

Israel and US Negotiating New Multiyear Military Aid Agreement

Available reporting indicates that Israel and the United States are negotiating a successor to the military-aid framework that expires in 2028, with a reported five-year period of direct ai…

Cybersecurity · Intelligence Brief

Hackers Remotely Increased Supermarket Freezer Temperatures

Available reporting supports a cross-border campaign in which attackers remotely raised refrigeration temperatures at supermarkets, using internet-exposed controllers with weak or factory-d…

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The weekly assessment · Issue 24

Weekly Intelligence Assessment: 2026-11-01 — 2026-11-08

Key judgments by region, what changed since last week and what to watch next. Every Sunday.

Weekly intelligence assessment 2026-11-01 — 2026-11-08 Key judgments · Regional outlook · Indicators to watch WorldWideWatchers

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