SATURDAY 7 NOVEMBER 2026OPEN-SOURCE INTELLIGENCE ON INTERNATIONAL SECURITY · UPDATED FOUR TIMES A DAY

National security · Strategic Assessment · Threat level High

US Military Actions on Iranian Missile Sites Amid Iranian Cognitive Warfare Efforts

Al Jazeera reports that US forces struck Iranian missile launch systems on Qeshm Island in the Strait of Hormuz on 6 November 2026, and that Iran confirmed the island was hit by two missiles.

How sure we are · “Probably”

55%

RemoteEven chanceAlmost certain

Competing explanations we weighed

H-A41%
H-B21%
H-C27%
H-D6%

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Weekly Intelligence Assessment: 2026-10-25 — 2026-11-01

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Weekly intelligence assessment 2026-10-25 — 2026-11-01 Key judgments · Regional outlook · Indicators to watch WorldWideWatchers

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