Published on: 2025-06-28

Intelligence Report: ‘Most Peaceful Country’ Report Lists Ukraine Russia Last See Who Is First – Newsweek

1. BLUF (Bottom Line Up Front)

The Global Peace Index (GPI) report by the Institute for Economics and Peace highlights a continued decline in global peacefulness, marking the sixth consecutive year of deterioration. Iceland remains the most peaceful country, while Russia and Ukraine are ranked lowest due to ongoing conflicts. The report underscores increased militarization and geopolitical tensions as significant contributors to this trend. Strategic recommendations focus on conflict resolution and international cooperation to reverse the decline in peacefulness.

2. Detailed Analysis

The following structured analytic techniques have been applied to ensure methodological consistency:

Causal Layered Analysis (CLA)

The GPI report reveals systemic structures contributing to global instability, such as increased militarization and geopolitical tensions. Surface events include conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East, while underlying worldviews reflect a shift towards nationalistic policies.

Cross-Impact Simulation

The ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and Russia have ripple effects on neighboring states, exacerbating regional instability and affecting global economic dependencies.

Scenario Generation

Potential futures include a continued decline in global peacefulness if current trends persist, or a stabilization if international diplomatic efforts succeed in resolving key conflicts.

3. Implications and Strategic Risks

The report highlights a pattern of increasing militarization and geopolitical tension, posing risks to international security. The potential for escalation in conflicts involving major powers could lead to broader instability. Economic uncertainties and the breakup of traditional alliances further compound these risks.

4. Recommendations and Outlook

• Enhance diplomatic efforts to mediate ongoing conflicts, particularly in Ukraine and the Middle East.
• Strengthen international alliances to counteract rising militarization and geopolitical tensions.
• Scenario-based projections suggest that proactive conflict resolution could stabilize global peacefulness, while inaction may lead to further deterioration.

5. Key Individuals and Entities

Donald Trump

6. Thematic Tags

national security threats, geopolitical tensions, conflict resolution, international cooperation