Published on: 2025-07-16

Intelligence Report: Adopting Resolution 2787 2025 Security Council Extends Reporting Requirement on Houthi Attacks against Merchant Commercial Vessels in Red Sea – Globalsecurity.org

1. BLUF (Bottom Line Up Front)

The United Nations Security Council has adopted Resolution 2787, mandating monthly reports on Houthi attacks against merchant vessels in the Red Sea. This decision underscores international concern over the Houthis’ impact on maritime security and global commerce. The resolution aims to enhance transparency and accountability, while urging cessation of hostilities and the release of detained crew members.

2. Detailed Analysis

The following structured analytic techniques have been applied to ensure methodological consistency:

Causal Layered Analysis (CLA)

The surface events involve ongoing Houthi attacks on commercial vessels, disrupting trade routes. Systemic structures highlight regional instability and the influence of external actors like Iran. Worldviews reflect differing international perspectives on sovereignty and maritime security. Myths pertain to historical grievances and narratives of resistance.

Cross-Impact Simulation

The resolution’s implementation may affect regional alliances, with potential shifts in diplomatic relations among Gulf states. Economic dependencies on Red Sea trade routes could lead to broader economic repercussions if security is not restored.

Scenario Generation

Scenarios include a stabilized Red Sea region through effective enforcement of the resolution, continued escalation of attacks leading to increased international military presence, or a diplomatic breakthrough reducing hostilities.

3. Implications and Strategic Risks

The persistent threat to maritime security poses risks to global trade and regional stability. Potential escalation could lead to increased military engagements, impacting political and economic landscapes. The involvement of external actors like Iran exacerbates tensions, potentially leading to broader geopolitical conflicts.

4. Recommendations and Outlook

• Enhance maritime patrols and intelligence sharing among Red Sea littoral states to deter further attacks.
• Engage in diplomatic efforts to address underlying grievances and promote regional dialogue.
• Scenario-based projections: Best case – successful implementation of the resolution leading to reduced hostilities; Worst case – escalation of attacks prompting international military intervention; Most likely – continued sporadic attacks with incremental diplomatic progress.

5. Key Individuals and Entities

The report mentions representatives from the United States, Greece, Algeria, China, and the Russian Federation, highlighting their roles in the adoption and discussion of the resolution.

6. Thematic Tags

national security threats, maritime security, counter-terrorism, regional focus, international diplomacy