Published on: 2025-05-21

Intelligence Report: At UN India calls maritime anti-terror strategy vital to national security amid Indo-Pacific shifts – The Times of India

1. BLUF (Bottom Line Up Front)

India emphasizes the critical importance of maritime security and counter-terrorism strategies to its national security and economic interests, particularly in response to geopolitical shifts in the Indo-Pacific region. The country is committed to strengthening its maritime capabilities and international cooperation to address both traditional and emerging threats. Key recommendations include enhancing regional diplomacy, bolstering defense capabilities, and promoting a rules-based maritime order.

2. Detailed Analysis

The following structured analytic techniques have been applied to ensure methodological consistency:

Causal Layered Analysis (CLA)

– **Surface Events**: Increased incidents of piracy, trafficking, and maritime terrorism in strategic waterways.
– **Systemic Structures**: Regional power dynamics, economic dependencies on maritime trade routes, and international maritime laws.
– **Worldviews**: India’s perception of its role as a responsible maritime power and its commitment to a free and open Indo-Pacific.
– **Myths**: The belief in the invulnerability of established maritime routes and the inevitability of regional cooperation.

Cross-Impact Simulation

– Potential escalation of regional tensions could disrupt trade routes, impacting global economic stability.
– Strengthened maritime security could deter non-state actors, reducing incidents of piracy and terrorism.

Scenario Generation

– **Best Case**: Enhanced international cooperation leads to a stable and secure maritime environment, boosting economic growth.
– **Worst Case**: Geopolitical tensions escalate, leading to increased maritime conflicts and disruption of trade routes.
– **Most Likely**: Continued focus on regional diplomacy and defense enhancements stabilizes the maritime domain with periodic disruptions.

3. Implications and Strategic Risks

– **Political**: Potential for increased regional alliances and rivalries.
– **Cyber**: Growing threat of cyber attacks on maritime infrastructure.
– **Military**: Need for enhanced naval capabilities to counter hybrid threats.
– **Economic**: Vulnerability of critical trade routes to disruptions.

4. Recommendations and Outlook

• Enhance regional diplomatic efforts to foster cooperation and conflict resolution.
• Invest in advanced maritime defense technologies and capabilities.
• Promote adherence to international maritime laws and conventions.
• Scenario-based projections suggest focusing on regional partnerships to mitigate risks.

5. Key Individuals and Entities

– Parvathaneni Harish
– Antonio Guterres
– Kyriakos Mitsotakis

6. Thematic Tags

national security threats, cybersecurity, counter-terrorism, regional focus