Published on: 2025-07-23

Intelligence Report: Adopting Resolution 2788 2025 Security Council Seeks to Bolster UN Toolkit on Peaceful Conflict Resolution – Globalsecurity.org

1. BLUF (Bottom Line Up Front)

The adoption of Resolution 2788 by the UN Security Council aims to enhance the organization’s capabilities in peaceful conflict resolution. This resolution emphasizes the use of existing UN mechanisms, such as negotiation and mediation, to address global conflicts. The strategic focus is on preventive diplomacy and strengthening international cooperation to manage geopolitical tensions effectively.

2. Detailed Analysis

The following structured analytic techniques have been applied to ensure methodological consistency:

Causal Layered Analysis (CLA)

The resolution addresses surface events like ongoing conflicts in regions such as Gaza, Ukraine, and Myanmar. Systemic structures involve the UN’s existing frameworks under Chapter VI of the UN Charter. The worldview promoted is one of multilateralism and peaceful dispute resolution, countering myths of unilateral actions being more effective.

Cross-Impact Simulation

The resolution’s adoption is likely to influence neighboring states by encouraging them to engage in peaceful negotiations, potentially reducing regional tensions. Economic dependencies and political alliances may shift as countries align with the UN’s reinforced conflict resolution strategies.

Scenario Generation

Under varying assumptions, scenarios include a best-case where global adherence to the resolution leads to decreased conflicts, a worst-case where geopolitical tensions escalate despite the resolution, and a most likely scenario where gradual improvements are seen in conflict management.

3. Implications and Strategic Risks

The resolution could mitigate emerging threats by promoting dialogue over military action. However, systemic vulnerabilities remain in regions with entrenched conflicts. The risk of non-compliance by key states could undermine the resolution’s effectiveness, leading to potential escalations.

4. Recommendations and Outlook

• Encourage member states to actively participate in UN-led mediation efforts and support capacity-building initiatives for conflict resolution.
• Monitor compliance and effectiveness of the resolution through regular assessments and adapt strategies as needed.
• Scenario-based projections: Best case – Enhanced global stability; Worst case – Continued regional conflicts; Most likely – Incremental progress in conflict resolution.

5. Key Individuals and Entities

António Guterres

6. Thematic Tags

national security threats, cybersecurity, counter-terrorism, regional focus