Published on: 2025-04-24

Intelligence Report: China targets gangs temples to infiltrate Taiwan NSB – Globalsecurity.org

1. BLUF (Bottom Line Up Front)

China is intensifying its infiltration efforts in Taiwan through collaboration with organized crime groups and religious institutions. These efforts aim to penetrate Taiwan’s National Security Bureau (NSB) and other government agencies to gather sensitive intelligence. The strategic use of underground banking, recruitment of military personnel, and exploitation of Taiwan’s open environment are key tactics. Immediate countermeasures are recommended to mitigate these threats.

2. Detailed Analysis

The following structured analytic techniques have been applied to ensure methodological consistency:

Scenario Analysis

China’s infiltration efforts could lead to compromised national security in Taiwan, potentially destabilizing the region. Scenarios include increased espionage activities, internal sabotage, and heightened military tensions.

Key Assumptions Check

Assumptions regarding Taiwan’s resilience to infiltration and the effectiveness of its counterintelligence measures need reassessment. The potential underestimation of China’s capabilities and strategic intent is a critical blind spot.

Indicators Development

Key indicators include unusual financial transactions, increased interactions between Taiwanese and Chinese entities, and shifts in military personnel behavior. Monitoring these variables can provide early warning of escalating threats.

3. Implications and Strategic Risks

The infiltration poses significant risks to Taiwan’s political stability and military integrity. The potential for espionage and internal sabotage could undermine Taiwan’s defense capabilities and diplomatic relations. Cross-domain risks include cyber threats and economic coercion.

4. Recommendations and Outlook

• Enhance counterintelligence operations to identify and neutralize infiltration efforts.
• Strengthen financial oversight to detect and disrupt underground banking activities.
• Implement robust security protocols within religious and community organizations.
• Scenario-based projections suggest that without intervention, infiltration efforts will escalate, increasing the risk of military and political destabilization.

5. Key Individuals and Entities

The report does not specify individual names but highlights the involvement of Taiwanese businessmen and military personnel targeted by Chinese operatives.

6. Thematic Tags

(‘national security threats, cybersecurity, counter-terrorism, regional focus’, ‘cybersecurity’, ‘counter-terrorism’, ‘regional focus’)