Published on: 2025-05-06

Intelligence Report: Experts warn of a second wave of attacks targeting SAP NetWeaver bug CVE-2025-31324 – Securityaffairs.com

1. BLUF (Bottom Line Up Front)

A critical vulnerability in SAP NetWeaver, tracked as CVE-2025-31324, is being actively exploited, with a second wave of attacks observed. This vulnerability allows unauthenticated attackers to execute arbitrary code, potentially compromising SAP environments. Immediate patching and enhanced monitoring are recommended to mitigate risks.

2. Detailed Analysis

The following structured analytic techniques have been applied to ensure methodological consistency:

Adversarial Threat Simulation

Simulations indicate that attackers are leveraging the SAP NetWeaver vulnerability to deploy webshells, facilitating remote command execution and persistent access.

Indicators Development

Key indicators include unauthorized file uploads, execution of JSP webshells, and anomalous network traffic patterns. Detection mechanisms should focus on these indicators for early threat identification.

Bayesian Scenario Modeling

Probabilistic models suggest a high likelihood of continued exploitation, with potential escalation in attack sophistication and targeting of high-value SAP systems.

3. Implications and Strategic Risks

The exploitation of this vulnerability poses significant risks to both government and enterprise systems, potentially leading to data breaches and operational disruptions. The systemic vulnerability in SAP systems could have cascading effects on supply chains and critical infrastructure reliant on SAP technologies.

4. Recommendations and Outlook

• Immediately apply the latest SAP security patches to mitigate the vulnerability.
• Enhance monitoring for indicators of compromise, particularly unauthorized file uploads and webshell activity.
• Conduct scenario-based risk assessments to prepare for potential escalation in attack tactics.
• Best case: Rapid patch deployment and monitoring reduce attack success rates. Worst case: Delayed patching leads to widespread system compromises. Most likely: Continued targeted attacks with moderate success due to partial mitigation efforts.

5. Key Individuals and Entities

ReliaQuest researchers, Onapsis Research Lab, Mandiant.

6. Thematic Tags

national security threats, cybersecurity, counter-terrorism, regional focus