Published on: 2025-04-03

Intelligence Report: Fed up with surging gang violence thousands of Haitians hit the streets – Al Jazeera English

1. BLUF (Bottom Line Up Front)

The resurgence of gang violence in Haiti has led to widespread protests in Port-au-Prince, with thousands of citizens expressing frustration over the government’s inability to control armed gangs. The gangs now control a significant portion of the capital and surrounding areas, exacerbating economic instability and humanitarian crises. Immediate international intervention and strategic reforms are necessary to restore security and stability.

2. Detailed Analysis

The following structured analytic techniques have been applied for this analysis:

General Analysis

The control of nearly 80% of Port-au-Prince by armed gangs has led to increased violence and insecurity. The government’s failure to address these issues has resulted in public outcry and protests. The recent jailbreak in Mirebalais and attacks on police stations highlight the gangs’ growing boldness. The transitional government’s inability to implement effective security measures has been criticized, with accusations of corruption and collusion further undermining public trust.

3. Implications and Strategic Risks

The ongoing violence poses significant risks to national security and regional stability. The displacement of over a million people and the economic paralysis contribute to mass hunger and humanitarian crises. The potential for further escalation could destabilize the region, affecting international interests and prompting increased migration pressures. The paralysis of the judicial system and alleged government corruption exacerbate these risks.

4. Recommendations and Outlook

Recommendations:

• International support for a multinational security mission to assist Haitian police in regaining control of affected areas.
• Implementation of anti-corruption measures and judicial reforms to restore public trust and improve governance.
• Increased humanitarian aid to address immediate needs and support economic recovery efforts.

Outlook:

Best-case scenario: Successful international intervention stabilizes the security situation, allowing for economic recovery and improved governance.

Worst-case scenario: Continued violence leads to further displacement and regional instability, with increased international migration pressures.

Most likely scenario: Incremental improvements with ongoing international support, but challenges remain due to entrenched corruption and limited resources.

5. Key Individuals and Entities

The report mentions significant individuals such as Joseph Mackendy and Ariel Henry. Additionally, entities such as the United Nations and the International Organization for Migration are involved in addressing the situation.