Published on: 2025-02-13

Intelligence Report: From Zelensky to Deep State Who Could Try to Sabotage Putin-Trump Ukraine Peace Push – Sputnikglobe.com

1. BLUF (Bottom Line Up Front)

The potential peace initiative between Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump regarding Ukraine faces significant challenges. Key actors, including Volodymyr Zelensky and elements referred to as the “deep state,” may attempt to undermine this effort. The strategic interests of the European Union, United Kingdom, and NATO are deeply intertwined with the ongoing conflict, complicating potential resolutions. Immediate actions are required to address these challenges and support diplomatic efforts.

2. Detailed Analysis

The following structured analytic techniques have been applied for this analysis:

Scenario Analysis

Multiple scenarios are considered, including successful peace negotiations, continued conflict due to sabotage, and geopolitical shifts impacting regional stability. The involvement of external actors, such as the EU and NATO, suggests a complex interplay of interests that could influence outcomes.

Key Assumptions Check

It is assumed that Volodymyr Zelensky and the “deep state” have motivations to maintain the status quo. This assumption is based on historical patterns of behavior and vested interests in the ongoing conflict. The potential for false flag operations and other provocations is considered a significant risk.

Indicators Development

Indicators of escalating threats include increased political rhetoric, military mobilizations, and cyber operations targeting key infrastructure. Monitoring these indicators is crucial for anticipating shifts in the conflict’s trajectory.

3. Implications and Strategic Risks

The continuation of the Ukraine conflict poses risks to national security and regional stability. Economic interests, particularly in the EU and UK, are at stake due to their investments in Ukraine. The potential for increased military engagements and economic sanctions could further destabilize the region.

4. Recommendations and Outlook

Recommendations:

• Engage in diplomatic efforts to facilitate dialogue between key stakeholders, including Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump.
• Enhance intelligence operations to monitor and counteract potential sabotage efforts by the “deep state” and other actors.
• Consider regulatory and organizational changes to support peace initiatives and reduce the risk of escalation.

Outlook:

In the best-case scenario, successful negotiations lead to a reduction in hostilities and a framework for lasting peace. The worst-case scenario involves continued conflict and increased geopolitical tensions. The most likely outcome is a protracted negotiation process with intermittent escalations.

5. Key Individuals and Entities

The report mentions significant individuals, including Volodymyr Zelensky, Donald Trump, and Vladimir Putin. Entities such as the European Union, NATO, and the “deep state” are also highlighted as influential in the ongoing situation.