Published on: 2025-02-19

Intelligence Report: India has been victim of terror acts perpetrated by Pakistan through groups such as JeM New Delhi tells UNSC – The Times of India

1. BLUF (Bottom Line Up Front)

India has accused Pakistan of being a perpetrator of terrorism through groups like Jaish-e-Mohammed (JeM) at a United Nations Security Council (UNSC) meeting. The Indian representative emphasized the irony of Pakistan’s claims to combat terrorism while allegedly supporting cross-border terrorism. The strategic recommendation is for international bodies to increase pressure on Pakistan to curb support for terrorist entities.

2. Detailed Analysis

The following structured analytic techniques have been applied for this analysis:

SWOT Analysis

Strengths: India’s active participation in international forums to highlight regional security issues.

Weaknesses: Persistent cross-border terrorism affecting regional stability.

Opportunities: Strengthening international alliances to combat terrorism.

Threats: Escalation of tensions between India and Pakistan, potentially impacting regional peace.

Cross-Impact Matrix

The ongoing conflict and accusations between India and Pakistan could influence neighboring countries, potentially destabilizing South Asia. Increased international scrutiny may lead to diplomatic pressure on Pakistan, affecting its foreign relations.

Scenario Generation

Best-case scenario: Pakistan takes concrete steps to dismantle terrorist networks, leading to improved regional security.

Worst-case scenario: Escalation of hostilities between India and Pakistan, resulting in military conflict.

Most likely scenario: Continued diplomatic engagement with incremental progress in counter-terrorism efforts.

3. Implications and Strategic Risks

The persistent threat of terrorism poses significant risks to national security and regional stability. Economic interests may be jeopardized due to increased military expenditures and potential disruptions in trade. The international community’s response will be crucial in shaping the geopolitical landscape.

4. Recommendations and Outlook

Recommendations:

• Enhance intelligence-sharing mechanisms with international partners to track and dismantle terrorist networks.
• Advocate for stronger sanctions against entities supporting terrorism.
• Invest in technological advancements for border security and surveillance.

Outlook:

Best-case: Diplomatic efforts lead to a reduction in cross-border terrorism and improved bilateral relations.
Worst-case: Increased hostilities result in economic and humanitarian crises.
Most likely: Gradual progress in counter-terrorism initiatives with ongoing diplomatic negotiations.

5. Key Individuals and Entities

The report mentions significant individuals such as Parvathaneni Harish and Mohammed Ishaq Dar. Key organizations include Jaish-e-Mohammed and other Pakistan-based terrorist entities listed by the UN Security Council.