Published on: 2025-03-29

Intelligence Report: Israels war on Gaza was never about Hamas – Mondoweiss

1. BLUF (Bottom Line Up Front)

The ongoing conflict in Gaza, as reported by Mondoweiss, suggests that Israel’s military actions are not solely focused on Hamas but are part of a broader strategy to depopulate and control the region. The humanitarian crisis is exacerbated by the destruction of civilian infrastructure and the blockade of essential supplies. The strategic aim appears to be the dismantling of Hamas’s control, but the implications extend to a potential mass displacement of Palestinians. Immediate attention is required to address the humanitarian needs and to reassess the strategic objectives to prevent further escalation.

2. Detailed Analysis

The following structured analytic techniques have been applied for this analysis:

General Analysis

The report highlights a systematic approach by Israeli forces to target civilian infrastructure in Gaza, including hospitals and residential areas. The use of artillery shelling, airstrikes, and drones has led to significant casualties and displacement. The narrative suggests that the conflict is not merely a response to Hamas’s actions but part of a larger plan to alter the demographic and political landscape of Gaza. The involvement of international media and the portrayal of protests against Hamas indicate a complex interplay of local and international narratives.

3. Implications and Strategic Risks

The conflict poses significant risks to regional stability, with potential spillover effects into neighboring countries. The humanitarian crisis could lead to increased refugee flows, straining resources and infrastructure in host nations. The destruction of infrastructure and blockade of essential supplies may lead to long-term economic destabilization in Gaza. The strategic focus on depopulation raises ethical and legal concerns, potentially impacting international relations and Israel’s diplomatic standing.

4. Recommendations and Outlook

Recommendations:

• Engage in diplomatic efforts to broker a ceasefire and facilitate humanitarian aid delivery to affected areas.
• Encourage international oversight to ensure compliance with international humanitarian law and prevent further civilian casualties.
• Promote dialogue between conflicting parties to address underlying issues and foster long-term peace and stability.

Outlook:

In the best-case scenario, international mediation leads to a sustainable ceasefire and the initiation of peace talks. The worst-case scenario involves continued escalation, resulting in further humanitarian crises and regional instability. The most likely outcome is a protracted conflict with intermittent ceasefires, requiring ongoing international attention and intervention.

5. Key Individuals and Entities

The report mentions significant individuals such as Tammy Bruce and Husam Abu Safiyeh, as well as entities like Bezalel Smotrich. These individuals and entities play roles in shaping the narrative and actions within the conflict, though specific roles and affiliations are not detailed in this report.