Published on: 2025-04-03

Intelligence Report: Livestock Theft Is Central To Jihadist Economy In West Africa – International Business Times

1. BLUF (Bottom Line Up Front)

Livestock theft is a critical component of the jihadist economy in West Africa, particularly affecting regions such as Nigeria, Mali, and Burkina Faso. This illicit activity serves as a significant revenue stream for groups like Boko Haram and Ansarul Islam, facilitating their operations and sustaining conflict in the region. The theft and subsequent laundering of livestock through local markets and cross-border networks pose a substantial threat to regional stability and economic security. Immediate regional cooperation and strategic interventions are necessary to disrupt these networks and mitigate their impact.

2. Detailed Analysis

The following structured analytic techniques have been applied for this analysis:

General Analysis

Livestock theft in West Africa is not only a criminal activity but also a strategic operation for jihadist groups. The thefts are primarily concentrated in regions with weak governance and security, such as the Lake Chad Basin and the Sahel. The stolen livestock are either sold in local markets or laundered across borders, often mixed with legally obtained livestock to obscure their origins. This activity is facilitated by a network of intermediaries, including traders, transporters, and corrupt officials. The economic impact is severe, as it undermines local agriculture, a primary livelihood for many communities, and fuels further instability.

3. Implications and Strategic Risks

The continued success of livestock theft operations poses several strategic risks:

• National Security: The revenue generated from livestock theft directly funds jihadist operations, increasing their capacity to conduct violent activities.
• Regional Stability: The illicit trade exacerbates tensions among communities, leading to further conflict and displacement.
• Economic Interests: The destabilization of local economies through theft and market manipulation undermines regional development efforts.

4. Recommendations and Outlook

Recommendations:

• Enhance cross-border cooperation among West African nations to disrupt livestock laundering networks.
• Implement technological solutions such as livestock tracking and identification systems to prevent theft.
• Strengthen local governance and security measures to protect vulnerable communities and their livelihoods.

Outlook:

Best-case scenario: Regional cooperation leads to the dismantling of key networks, reducing the incidence of livestock theft and restoring stability.

Worst-case scenario: Continued geopolitical tensions and lack of cooperation allow jihadist groups to expand their operations, further destabilizing the region.

Most likely scenario: Incremental improvements in security and governance lead to a gradual reduction in theft, though challenges persist due to entrenched networks.

5. Key Individuals and Entities

The report mentions significant individuals and organizations involved in the livestock theft operations:

• Musa
• Flore Berger
• Kingsley Madueke
• William Assanvo

These individuals are noted for their research and insights into the dynamics of livestock theft and its implications for regional security.