Published on: 2025-02-11

Intelligence Report: The UK remains committed to achieving justice for survivors of Daesh crimes UK statement at the UN Security Council – Globalsecurity.org

1. BLUF (Bottom Line Up Front)

The United Kingdom reaffirms its commitment to achieving justice for survivors of Daesh crimes, emphasizing the need for collective international efforts to address the ongoing threat posed by Daesh and its affiliates. The UK supports initiatives in Syria and Iraq to reduce Daesh’s influence and stresses the importance of international cooperation in combating terrorism globally. The UK also highlights the role of women in counter-terrorism efforts and the necessity of protecting human rights and the rule of law.

2. Detailed Analysis

The following structured analytic techniques have been applied for this analysis:

SWOT Analysis

Strengths: The UK’s commitment to international coalitions and partnerships enhances its ability to combat Daesh effectively. The UK’s diplomatic efforts and military support in the Middle East are crucial in maintaining regional stability.

Weaknesses: Regional instability and the emergence of new technologies used by Daesh pose ongoing challenges. The complexity of coordinating international efforts can lead to delays in response.

Opportunities: Strengthening alliances with regional partners like Iraq and leveraging international judicial cooperation can enhance accountability and justice for survivors.

Threats: Daesh continues to exploit regional instability, and its influence is spreading in Africa and Asia, posing a global threat. The potential for Daesh to innovate in financing and operations remains a concern.

Cross-Impact Matrix

Events in the Middle East, such as Syria’s political transition and Iraq’s military efforts, significantly impact regional stability. These developments influence neighboring countries’ security dynamics and can either mitigate or exacerbate threats from Daesh affiliates.

Scenario Generation

Best-case scenario: Successful international cooperation leads to the significant weakening of Daesh, with improved regional stability and justice for survivors.

Worst-case scenario: Daesh exploits regional conflicts and technological advancements, increasing its influence and operational capabilities.

Most likely scenario: Continued international efforts result in gradual progress against Daesh, with ongoing challenges due to regional instability and emerging threats.

3. Implications and Strategic Risks

The persistence of Daesh and its affiliates poses significant risks to national security and regional stability. The spread of Daesh in Africa and Asia threatens economic interests and could inspire individual attacks globally. The need for a coordinated international response is critical to mitigating these risks.

4. Recommendations and Outlook

Recommendations:

• Enhance international cooperation and intelligence sharing to effectively combat Daesh and its affiliates.
• Invest in technological advancements to counter emerging threats and improve surveillance capabilities.
• Support regional partners in building judicial and military capacities to sustain efforts against Daesh.
• Promote the inclusion of women in counter-terrorism strategies to address long-term drivers of terrorism.

Outlook:

Best-case: Strengthened international coalitions lead to a significant reduction in Daesh’s influence and improved regional stability.

Worst-case: Daesh adapts to new technologies and regional conflicts, increasing its global threat level.

Most likely: Ongoing international efforts yield gradual progress, with continued challenges from regional instability and emerging threats.

5. Key Individuals and Entities

The report mentions significant individuals and organizations such as Fergus Eckersley and the United Kingdom, without providing any roles or affiliations. Other entities include the Global Coalition, UNITAD, and the African Union.