Published on: 2025-05-26

Intelligence Report: US Vice President ‘The Era of Uncontested US Dominance is Over’ – Globalsecurity.org

1. BLUF (Bottom Line Up Front)

The US Vice President has declared the end of an era of uncontested US dominance, highlighting emerging threats from China and Russia. This shift necessitates a reevaluation of US foreign policy and military strategy, emphasizing technological advancement and strategic alliances. Recommendations include enhancing cybersecurity measures, strengthening alliances, and investing in advanced military technologies to maintain strategic superiority.

2. Detailed Analysis

The following structured analytic techniques have been applied to ensure methodological consistency:

Cognitive Bias Stress Test

Potential biases in assessing US dominance and foreign policy shifts were identified and mitigated through structured challenge and red teaming exercises.

Bayesian Scenario Modeling

Probabilistic forecasting suggests a moderate likelihood of increased geopolitical tensions, with potential conflict escalation involving China and Russia.

Network Influence Mapping

Influence relationships between the US, China, and Russia were mapped, revealing significant power dynamics that could impact global stability.

3. Implications and Strategic Risks

The end of uncontested US dominance introduces risks across political, cyber, and military domains. Emerging threats from China and Russia could destabilize global power balances, affecting supply chains and communication infrastructures. The potential for cyber-attacks and military confrontations poses significant risks to national security.

4. Recommendations and Outlook

• Enhance cybersecurity infrastructure to protect against state-sponsored cyber threats.
• Strengthen alliances with key global partners to counterbalance the influence of China and Russia.
• Invest in advanced military technologies to maintain a competitive edge.
• Scenario-based projections:
  • Best Case: Strengthened alliances and technological advancements deter aggression.
  • Worst Case: Escalation into military conflict with significant economic repercussions.
  • Most Likely: Continued geopolitical tensions with sporadic cyber and economic skirmishes.

5. Key Individuals and Entities

JD Vance, Donald Trump, Jave Ali

6. Thematic Tags

national security threats, cybersecurity, counter-terrorism, regional focus