Published on: 2025-03-20

Intelligence Report: Violence Triggers Record Displacements in Haiti’s Capital – Globalsecurity.org

1. BLUF (Bottom Line Up Front)

The intensifying violence in Port-au-Prince has led to unprecedented levels of displacement, exacerbating Haiti’s ongoing humanitarian crisis. Thousands have been forced to flee their homes, seeking refuge in overstretched displacement sites or with host families. The situation is dire, with essential services and humanitarian efforts severely underfunded. Immediate international intervention is crucial to prevent a large-scale humanitarian catastrophe.

2. Detailed Analysis

The following structured analytic techniques have been applied for this analysis:

General Analysis

The violence in Haiti’s capital, particularly in previously gang-free areas, has shattered community safety and increased vulnerability. Key neighborhoods such as Delma, Carrefour, Feuille, Martissant, Fort National, Ption Ville, and Tabarre have been heavily impacted. The closure of Toussaint Louverture International Airport further isolates the region. The displacement crisis has reached unprecedented levels, with millions forcibly displaced, marking a grim record compared to previous years.

3. Implications and Strategic Risks

The ongoing violence poses significant risks to national security and regional stability. The humanitarian crisis threatens to destabilize the region further, with potential spillover effects into neighboring countries. Economic interests are at risk as instability deters investment and disrupts local economies. The lack of adequate international support and funding exacerbates these risks, potentially leading to a broader humanitarian catastrophe.

4. Recommendations and Outlook

Recommendations:

• Increase international funding and support for humanitarian efforts in Haiti.
• Enhance resources for the Haitian National Police to restore stability and protect vulnerable communities.
• Implement long-term recovery strategies alongside emergency relief efforts to rebuild affected areas.

Outlook:

Best-case scenario: Immediate international intervention stabilizes the situation, reducing violence and displacement, and facilitating recovery efforts.
Worst-case scenario: Continued violence and inadequate support lead to a large-scale humanitarian disaster, further destabilizing the region.
Most likely scenario: Without significant intervention, the crisis will persist, with ongoing displacement and humanitarian needs outpacing available resources.

5. Key Individuals and Entities

The report highlights the observations of Grgoire Goodstein from the UN Migration Agency, emphasizing the critical need for increased international support and intervention to address the humanitarian crisis in Haiti.