Published on: 2025-04-03

Intelligence Report: Why three major countries were left out of Donald Trump’s long ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs list – LADbible

1. BLUF (Bottom Line Up Front)

The recent announcement of tariffs by Donald Trump excluded three significant countries: Russia, Canada, and Mexico. This exclusion raises questions about the strategic and economic considerations behind the decision. While Russia is currently under different sanctions, Canada and Mexico’s exclusion may relate to existing trade agreements. The implications of these omissions could affect international relations and trade dynamics.

2. Detailed Analysis

The following structured analytic techniques have been applied for this analysis:

General Analysis

The exclusion of Russia, Canada, and Mexico from the tariff list suggests a strategic decision influenced by existing geopolitical and economic relationships. Russia’s absence is likely due to ongoing sanctions and diplomatic negotiations. Canada and Mexico’s exclusion may be attributed to the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), which governs trade relations. The decision reflects a balance between enforcing economic measures and maintaining critical alliances.

3. Implications and Strategic Risks

The exclusion of these countries from the tariff list presents several strategic risks and implications:

• National Security: The omission of Russia may signal a diplomatic opening or a strategic pause in hostilities.
• Regional Stability: Excluding Canada and Mexico could maintain regional stability by avoiding trade tensions.
• Economic Interests: The decision may protect economic interests tied to the USMCA, ensuring continued trade flows with neighboring countries.

4. Recommendations and Outlook

Recommendations:

• Monitor ongoing diplomatic engagements with Russia to assess potential shifts in policy.
• Evaluate the impact of USMCA on trade relations and consider renegotiations if necessary to address emerging issues.
• Strengthen economic partnerships with Canada and Mexico to mitigate any adverse effects from other trade policies.

Outlook:

Best-case scenario: The exclusion leads to strengthened diplomatic ties and stable economic relations with the omitted countries.
Worst-case scenario: The decision creates unforeseen trade imbalances or diplomatic tensions.
Most likely outcome: The current status quo is maintained, with gradual adjustments based on geopolitical developments.

5. Key Individuals and Entities

The report mentions significant individuals such as Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin, as well as entities like the US Treasury and the USMCA. These individuals and entities play critical roles in shaping the geopolitical landscape and economic policies.