Published on: 2025-04-05

Intelligence Report: Yemen’s army thwarts two US attacks Spokesman – Globalsecurity.org

1. BLUF (Bottom Line Up Front)

Yemen’s military successfully thwarted planned attacks by US forces, including a retaliatory strike on the USS Harry Truman aircraft carrier. This development signals escalating tensions in the region, with potential implications for broader geopolitical stability. Immediate attention is required to assess the situation’s impact on regional security and international relations.

2. Detailed Analysis

The following structured analytic techniques have been applied for this analysis:

General Analysis

The Yemeni armed forces conducted a retaliatory operation against hostile warships in the Red Sea, targeting the USS Harry Truman with cruise missiles and drones. This action was in response to intensified military strikes ordered by Donald Trump. The operation underscores Yemen’s military readiness and its commitment to supporting Palestinian efforts against Israeli actions in Gaza. The formation of a maritime task force by Israel in the Red Sea further complicates the security landscape.

3. Implications and Strategic Risks

The escalation in military activities poses significant risks to regional stability, particularly in the Red Sea and surrounding areas. Potential disruptions to maritime trade routes could have economic repercussions globally. The involvement of major powers like the US and Israel in the conflict increases the risk of broader military engagements, potentially drawing in additional regional actors.

4. Recommendations and Outlook

Recommendations:

• Engage in diplomatic efforts to de-escalate tensions between involved parties, emphasizing the importance of maintaining open maritime routes.
• Enhance intelligence-sharing mechanisms among regional allies to monitor and respond to potential threats effectively.
• Consider technological advancements in missile defense systems to protect strategic assets in the region.

Outlook:

Best-case scenario: Successful diplomatic interventions lead to a de-escalation of military activities, stabilizing the region and ensuring the safety of maritime routes.
Worst-case scenario: Continued military engagements escalate into a broader conflict involving multiple regional and global powers, severely impacting international trade and security.
Most likely scenario: Sporadic military skirmishes persist, with ongoing diplomatic efforts preventing full-scale conflict but failing to achieve lasting peace.

5. Key Individuals and Entities

The report mentions significant individuals and organizations, including Yahya Saree and Donald Trump. The entities involved include the Yemeni armed forces, the USS Harry Truman, and the Israeli maritime task force.